South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f86b9058219a98e2a545ad2f3f6e5311a14526680d7dad2d9d4ba00d25e6923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,698$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,440$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.89 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,115$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 603.37$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 78c | 541$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 518.69$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 62c | 333.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 303.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 228.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.41 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 214.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 213.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 45c | 117.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 58c | 102.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 97.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 35c | 94.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 85.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 65c | 60.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 41c | 58.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 58.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 53c | 56.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 55.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ba09backed Over | 67c | 49.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 42c | 33.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 48c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 58c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 59c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.