Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d6524b3a808dd7a244aeffe18b6ef87bc088aa589d40b6a03da43b77a5876f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,774 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 46c | 28,702$13,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,546.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 54c | 20,466$11,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,051.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 45c | 10,348$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,678$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.55 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 5,326$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.29 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 54c | 2,200$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.97 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 40c | 1,757$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.91 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 55c | 1,706$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 1,600$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.98 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 55c | 1,461$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…8146backed Over | 54c | 1,165$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 59c | 967$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.83 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 890.19$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.55 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 40c | 882.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 6c | 730.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 612.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 611.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.65 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 55c | 607.27$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 594.8$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 45c | 568.8$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 18c | 478.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 447.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 430.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 61c | 390.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 362.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 4c | 343.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 310.91$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 56c | 267.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 75c | 243.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 227.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 58c | 217.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 55c | 208.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 55c | 188.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Over | 55c | 180.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 59c | 164.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 144.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 56c | 119.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 46c | 109.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 54c | 94.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 54c | 86.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 60c | 83.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 79.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 63.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 40c | 57.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Over | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 59c | 49.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…7d52backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 56c | 40.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 31c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Under | 44c | 37.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…a85abacked Under | 41c | 35.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.