TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,774 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under46c28,702$13,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,546.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over54c20,466$11,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,051.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under45c10,348$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,647.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,678$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.551,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c5,326$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.2921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over54c2,200$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.976648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0083964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under40c1,757$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.916952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over55c1,706$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.22853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over56c1,600$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.988444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.972334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over55c1,461$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over55c1,250$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over25c1,250$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.446132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afc…8146backed Over54c1,165$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c967$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.839747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over52c950$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under44c899.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c890.19$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under40c882.99$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.84459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over6c730.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8124052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c612.23$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c611.18$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over55c607.27$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3341553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c594.8$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c568.8$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.843551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over18c478.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.076836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c447.28$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c430.72$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over61c390.16$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2389447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c362.52$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over4c343.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over60c340$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick69cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c310.91$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over56c267.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0710942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over60c266.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under75c243.19$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c227.51$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over58c217.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.112050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f1…5fd6backed Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over55c208.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.642850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over55c188.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.471050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Over55c180.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over59c164.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under42c144.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.699450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over56c119.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.186549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under46c109.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512015%3 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over54c94.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.042373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under39c89.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.97853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over54c86.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.884050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over57c86.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502560%15 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over60c83.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.983745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c79.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3c16backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over55c63.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1811753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Under40c57.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over61c57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb6…80aebacked Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over59c49.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.484153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9917251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…7d52backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Over57c42.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over56c40.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over31c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Under44c37.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433d…a85abacked Under41c35.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.062437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.064546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.