Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac6f9c520c78e9a2f10be05317c0d410eae451ed531d43594b451f5827367ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,849 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,463$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,087$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 48c | 509.11$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 451.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 51c | 410.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 278.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed No | 13c | 233.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 218.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 11c | 190.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 14c | 182.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 178.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…2e75backed Yes | 21c | 173.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 53c | 166.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 51c | 147$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 142.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 51c | 137.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed No | 49c | 131.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked No | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Yes | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 49c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 77c | 86.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 74.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 74.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 53c | 66.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Yes | 49c | 61.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 51c | 48.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 38.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed No | 49c | 33.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.