Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e7cbfe9784499b1daa5074b6f6b72d1260372e9a915a2ea4d3e98a7e033b23

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: AJ Auxerreof Olympique de Marseille, AJ Auxerre
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,031 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	56,818$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked AJ Auxerre	56c	28,265$15,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,436.42	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AJ Auxerre	56c	13,910$7,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,114.44	211	44.5%94 W · 117 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed AJ Auxerre	56c	10,814$6,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,758.2	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre	63c	7,607$4,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,811.61	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AJ Auxerre	56c	3,876$2,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,687.9	873	44.3%387 W · 486 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	2,340$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.2	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed AJ Auxerre	56c	2,153$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.03	299	49.8%149 W · 150 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed AJ Auxerre	58c	1,713$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.73	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	1,242$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.91	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked AJ Auxerre	57c	892.77$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.89	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Olympique de Marseille	22c	811.31$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.29	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Olympique de Marseille	45c	622.18$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked AJ Auxerre	56c	599.98$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.99	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Olympique de Marseille	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked AJ Auxerre	56c	464.34$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.31	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Olympique de Marseille	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Olympique de Marseille	40c	376.78$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	328.89$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.9	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c38…ad0abacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	306.12$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed AJ Auxerre	56c	300$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Olympique de Marseille	42c	285.89$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.07	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Olympique de Marseille	38c	263.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Olympique de Marseille	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Olympique de Marseille	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Olympique de Marseille	41c	230$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.3	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	227.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Olympique de Marseille	16c	212.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed AJ Auxerre	58c	207.46$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.18	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Olympique de Marseille	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Olympique de Marseille	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	174.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	165$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	143.37$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.65	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	142$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Olympique de Marseille	16c	137.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	30cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked AJ Auxerre	58c	120.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.86	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Olympique de Marseille	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Olympique de Marseille	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Olympique de Marseille	42c	119.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	265	50.6%134 W · 131 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Olympique de Marseille	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed AJ Auxerre	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7a…c7f5backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Olympique de Marseille	45c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	86.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked AJ Auxerre	58c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed AJ Auxerre	57c	79$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.97	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	79$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.97	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Olympique de Marseille	25c	76.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Olympique de Marseille	42c	75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	240	51.7%124 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Olympique de Marseille	17c	74.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	1,415	40.8%577 W · 838 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	70$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Olympique de Marseille	41c	70$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Olympique de Marseille	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Olympique de Marseille	46c	54.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	52.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Olympique de Marseille	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Olympique de Marseille	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked AJ Auxerre	58c	46.15$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.54	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40dd…6816backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Olympique de Marseille	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Olympique de Marseille	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Olympique de Marseille	32c	39.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	-16.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6914…8a2ebacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	39.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Olympique de Marseille	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…34edbacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Olympique de Marseille	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Olympique de Marseille	33c	32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked AJ Auxerre	65c	31.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed AJ Auxerre	58c	28.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed AJ Auxerre	56c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.86	464	50.4%234 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Olympique de Marseille	44c	26.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed AJ Auxerre	55c	24.55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed AJ Auxerre	58c	19.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed AJ Auxerre	60c	19.7$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	63	68.3%43 W · 20 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed AJ Auxerre	57c	18.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Under won
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event