Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8f28cb313a99280835d4756c1e527d17151cfe1dfdf9bb477de9cba891e18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 13,062$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 79c | 10,655$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 21c | 2,709$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 80c | 2,618$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 2,266$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.99 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 80c | 1,584$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.54 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 67c | 1,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,502$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.84 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,361$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 79c | 1,262$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 42c | 1,132$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 812$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 676.69$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 62c | 651.32$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.82 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 24c | 545.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 79c | 499.96$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.97 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 415.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 79c | 380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 49c | 349.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 18c | 327.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…15d3backed Over | 66c | 299.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 80c | 295.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 40c | 269.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 36c | 248$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 69c | 233.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 61c | 206.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Over | 78c | 205.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Under | 38c | 168.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 60c | 167.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 20c | 164.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 80c | 139.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 134.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…621abacked Under | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 24c | 118.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 16c | 111.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 21c | 101.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 100.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…08adbacked Under | 19c | 98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…0e41backed Under | 18c | 91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 19c | 83.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 52c | 73.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…9907backed Over | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 51c | 56.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 22c | 54.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 80c | 52.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 35c | 49.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 48.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 37c | 44.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 43.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 23c | 42.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 26c | 39.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 30c | 37.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1a78backed Over | 40c | 37.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Over | 80c | 26.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Over | 79c | 26.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Over | 66c | 22.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 47c | 22.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.