TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,301 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c13,062$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,953.821,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over79c10,655$8,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,417.154252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under21c2,709$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.353053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over80c2,618$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.02450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c2,266$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.9987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over80c1,584$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.549747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over67c1,502$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,502$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c1,361$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.021,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over79c1,262$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over42c1,132$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.21656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.992334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over77c812$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c676.69$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over62c651.32$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.829863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over24c545.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over79c499.96$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under21c415.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over79c380$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over49c349.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under18c327.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under19c299.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9827244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x266a…15d3backed Over66c299.33$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over80c295.44$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.352853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over40c269.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.67742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over36c248$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under69c233.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under61c206.56$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6e…42d4backed Over78c205.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over80c200$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Under38c168.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under60c167.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.843138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under20c164.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9411753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under60c155$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over80c139.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over80c137.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c134.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x860c…621abacked Under19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over24c118.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over16c111.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.626360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under21c101.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.349450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under38c100.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5617251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3246…08adbacked Under19c98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…0e41backed Under18c91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+268.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Over28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under19c83.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8614057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over22c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under52c73.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.341376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4c…9907backed Over63c71.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c69.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under51c56.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over22c54.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+265.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over80c52.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over65c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under35c49.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over32c48.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.215649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over37c44.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over42c43.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.448856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over23c42.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over48c41.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over26c39.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.181650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under30c37.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1a78backed Over40c37.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152548%12 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f9…e294backed Over80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over59c30.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.085662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under80c30.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed Over80c26.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed Over79c26.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over66c22.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over47c22.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.415050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.