La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdac19dca676647e3e30fde10a30ce3bfe22d3ebb451544a20a496eaea3e125b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,165$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,418$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,170$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 876.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 26c | 703.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.69 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 208.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 45c | 199.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 160.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 34c | 154.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 108.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 89.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 67.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 64c | 60.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 46.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 30.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.