La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe927a9e55df975b46012a34a8e9655c1b9cb821ae6017ce59fd044b92ab40ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 851.72$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 41c | 346.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 269.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 156.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 76c | 133$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 22c | 116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 77c | 35.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 76c | 29.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 41c | 24.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.