Other European Leagues · resolved market
Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee685ec2cf99b7d91df1922c1ff85a06a4c918b34a2244adb43a6c8eb06da640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 850.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 452.24$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 332.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 22c | 311$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 245.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 214.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 205.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 79c | 205$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 118.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 44.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 42.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 53c | 26.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-2.5)Motherwell FC won
- Spread: Motherwell FC (-2.5)Aberdeen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.