TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Under52c69,797$35,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,809.03850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over49c28,345$13,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,889.053847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c13,118$6,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,563.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c12,670$6,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.7169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over19c9,998$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under24c7,161$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.3511146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c6,060$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.033,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over19c4,405$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.3322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over76c3,948$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.5350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c2,244$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.831,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over51c2,211$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,458$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58220%0 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c713.12$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.211,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c690$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under45c664.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.381450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under23c649.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over34c574.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under26c481.7$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.461,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Over34c468.84$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.692425%6 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over58c427.66$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0417455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over76c401.42$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f40…2372backed Over77c324.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over76c316.52$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.072,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over43c300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c279.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa26a…fa8bbacked Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over6c256$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+264.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over17c233$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over47c216$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.552638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over45c206.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.79875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over7c190.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.321915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under25c184$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over48c161.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c160.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.97855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over10c155.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.376350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over49c145.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c119.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.451,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c93.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8133544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over61c83.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over76c78.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under77c78.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6213457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over21c69.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c66.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under24c64.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over37c61.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.922748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over27c56.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.315520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over78c51.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under25c46.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over54c44.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under25c41.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3119646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over42c40.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over43c27.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0f…50bebacked Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under80c25.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.275152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under79c25.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.48670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd475…35c5backed Over76c25.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.012277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over51c24.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over76c21.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under71c21.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.093243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Over76c13.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Under77c12.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.931866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.