TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c4,371$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c2,158$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.041,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.522835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c1,771$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb34…c6a4backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over60c1,582$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.755653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,374$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over62c1,359$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over62c1,331$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.6134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under4c1,314$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Under3c1,185$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6704035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.658957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under38c789.49$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under39c713.18$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over33c627.29$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.073860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Over57c599.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under5c445.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.426744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15231441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over60c384.57$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over58c354.19$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.091266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over60c331.93$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over33c303.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.848042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over40c302$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over70c300$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.05875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over32c257.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.015935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over63c231.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.078160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over46c217.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a31…67b7backed Over62c209.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.681283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c201$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c198.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9915042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over63c146.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under62c141.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0715259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over33c127.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under39c108$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c89.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c86.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under39c82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over62c80.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over60c77.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.089350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under54c77.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8850%0 W · 5 L-3.4wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under38c71.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.099826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over44c67.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.491978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under53c66.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over28c65.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.498965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed91…8ce8backed Over36c62.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over33c60.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.665945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over61c56.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over36c55.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.692454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under58c54.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5211529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over38c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3817651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over47c48.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Over61c48.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over61c43.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.981080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over62c41.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6812744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…2c61backed Over32c39.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over39c39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Over56c38.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.95650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over39c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Over61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492b…fa70backed Under40c35.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Over61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa26e…17e3backed Over63c33.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over61c33.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over61c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over61c32.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.825030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over61c32.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.875156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…25e3backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262387%20 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Over61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over61c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over62c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6416046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over63c26.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Over61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…8322backed Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Over61c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.