TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over36c5,631$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over60c4,722$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.378139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c3,555$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c3,421$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c3,065$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.3740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c1,881$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.4131051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over11c1,500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3354035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c1,439$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.1949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over28c1,361$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.355935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c1,238$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over34c1,006$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.277254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under67c981.86$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.8452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Under5c889.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under64c851.53$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over34c697.9$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.754953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under65c660.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over26c580$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over23c439.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over34c402.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9436630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Over32c393.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.13837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under71c367.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under66c299.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under66c299.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under68c295.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under74c289.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over18c283.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.334528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Over13c260.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.06450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+202.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over33c248$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.232176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over14c199.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.994524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Over15c198.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over33c181.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under66c170$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.28148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over71c167.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.677345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.293863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Under71c154.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.754247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under67c149.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over34c147.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.053259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8619436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over24c141.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under75c141.39$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8750%0 W · 5 L-3.4wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over55c127$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.159576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Over27c122.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.226136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over35c114.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6610330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over34c114$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over28c103$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.168439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095d…110bbacked Over12c85.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+752.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.85950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…6b82backed Under67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over29c67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8317651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under34c66.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.954070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Over30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c59.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8211348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over34c56.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.586937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.567065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under66c46.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.862035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over34c45.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.095552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8616…cfbebacked Under67c40.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4289…d1b2backed Over35c36.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Under66c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over36c34.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.783740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e1…f2ffbacked Under79c30.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Under66c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9456…44b1backed Under67c29.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Under66c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Under66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…c235backed Under68c19.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…22c7backed Under67c17.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Under66c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under66c15.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.