Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c51fd5f36b2f486cb85036b017579e5d5b4da72881d5f93956675d4fb4f780b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 60c | 14,929$8,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,957.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 13,512$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 6,263$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.77 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 2,151$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.59 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 38c | 1,314$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 585.56$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 521.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 369.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 343.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 324.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 301.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 51c | 253.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 24c | 250.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 76c | 197.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 143.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 125.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 123.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…d79fbacked Over | 57c | 113.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 31c | 100.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 89.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 75.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 60c | 66.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 63.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 47c | 53.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 34c | 49.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…35f4backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 28.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 48c | 25.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 41c | 24.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Nacional (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: CD Nacional (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)CD Nacional won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Nacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.