Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba91a1cbce8768973dbad557225289387a23f6bfdd9e2801e533b3fa63e5ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 11,097$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 45c | 7,794$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.43 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 1,803$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.66 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 1,779$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 38c | 1,018$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 903.09$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 763.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.68 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Over | 64c | 651.97$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 626.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 64c | 470.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 73c | 410.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 48c | 313.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 43c | 311.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 291.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 58c | 265.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 40c | 219$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 46c | 189.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 26c | 187.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 46c | 155.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 149.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Over | 46c | 131.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 65c | 106.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 99.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 61c | 81.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 44c | 81.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 63c | 79.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 63.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 31c | 60.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 40.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 53c | 33.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…8b6abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 57c | 18.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 59c | 17.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.