La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9674fde704e275dd711de4540f07e66ba64e611ceef789af158d7219c4f0c820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 10,994$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 68c | 4,413$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.16 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 32c | 1,577$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 34c | 1,459$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 1,404$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 68c | 1,397$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.01 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 1,392$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 58c | 1,062$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 51c | 693.14$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 64c | 661.14$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 55c | 571$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 67c | 499.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 62c | 419.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 369.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 61c | 340$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 32c | 312.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 32c | 295.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…94b2backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Over | 67c | 243.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Over | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 34c | 217.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 212.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 102.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 75c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 92.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…14f7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 68c | 89.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 67c | 66.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Over | 68c | 63.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 32c | 56.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…4f71backed Over | 79c | 50.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 77c | 50.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 33c | 38.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 66c | 33.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 44c | 32.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 52c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 54c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…af16backed Over | 65c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 66c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…5f4bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Over | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…5b7ebacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.