TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,627 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c16,669$8,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,500.966659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under49c15,849$7,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,082.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Under47c10,017$4,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,308.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over52c4,875$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5351833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under53c4,229$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…59dcbacked Under49c3,807$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c3,153$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.0433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under48c2,904$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.974351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc2…8564backed Over43c2,753$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,446$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under53c1,826$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.191338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c1,109$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,100$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over52c956.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over53c939.3$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c853.69$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.922060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over52c848.9$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.436659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c770.12$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Over8c714.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.679440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over51c655.9$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.153915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c632.67$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.299937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over52c577.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c561.52$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over53c408.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.654348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c399.6$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8113636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under48c356$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.123243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over30c280$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c250.02$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under48c210.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over45c197.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3311136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over53c171.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902688.5%23 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under51c158.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.474748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c149.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c141.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.27852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over42c116.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c105.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x201b…9795backed Under55c100.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under50c98.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under53c94.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.884949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c89.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over52c73.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.062240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over49c72.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.583961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over50c51.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over53c48.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over49c45.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Under47c43.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over46c42.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+71.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1f3…229fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Over49c39.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under72c36.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.253271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c36.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Under48c32.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under48c32.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…78aabacked Over36c31.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c31.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under59c28.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43850%19 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.