Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a8f8f177f359ebbe6efea73cc20b83edb2d59d3b0d044f1c2b73c7df4bc6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,364 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 29c | 1,730$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 71c | 1,406$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 28c | 1,249$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 1,066$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 1,008$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 70c | 879$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked Under | 71c | 704.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 72c | 541.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 498.92$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 78c | 252.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 28c | 249.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 21c | 191.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 23c | 143.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 29c | 135.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 70c | 111.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 25c | 103.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 80.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Under | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 52.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 47.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 41.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Under | 71c | 40.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 34.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 75c | 22.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d4…1e34backed Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…2c12backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.