Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2780bbff7de16753c830c5088a93f7b41e37ee21a1079e577b3ce30db0ff89a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof Juventus FC, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Udinese Calcio | 62c | 27,495$17,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,482.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Juventus FC | 37c | 19,040$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.74 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Juventus FC | 38c | 9,540$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Udinese Calcio | 60c | 4,731$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Juventus FC | 49c | 3,180$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Juventus FC | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Udinese Calcio | 64c | 2,305$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.49 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 2,250$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Juventus FC | 36c | 2,126$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.21 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 1,010$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Juventus FC | 36c | 980.63$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Juventus FC | 32c | 799.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Juventus FC | 37c | 737.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…0d36backed Juventus FC | 38c | 618.24$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Juventus FC | 37c | 505.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Udinese Calcio | 62c | 398$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Udinese Calcio | 62c | 393.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Udinese Calcio | 62c | 324.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 302.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Juventus FC | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 237.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 212.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Udinese Calcio | 62c | 210.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Udinese Calcio | 65c | 205.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Juventus FC | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…2302backed Juventus FC | 36c | 164.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 149.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 145.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Juventus FC | 37c | 137.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Juventus FC | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Udinese Calcio | 65c | 116.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Juventus FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Juventus FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Juventus FC | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Juventus FC | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Juventus FC | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 70.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…b8e1backed Juventus FC | 35c | 63.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Juventus FC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 55.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Juventus FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juventus FC | 35c | 50.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…9a10backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juventus FC | 38c | 45.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Udinese Calcio | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Juventus FC | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…efc7backed Juventus FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Udinese Calcio | 63c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Udinese Calcio | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…e37bbacked Juventus FC | 48c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Juventus FC | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Udinese Calcio | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Udinese Calcio | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 29.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Udinese Calcio | 61c | 27.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Juventus FC | 52c | 24.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Udinese Calcio | 64c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Udinese Calcio | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Udinese Calcio | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Udinese Calcio | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.