Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dabfb78b1e530869445728d55c168afa03229d204135e5843f9bd6cc2bec5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,459 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,118$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 49c | 1,908$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 52c | 962.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 750.37$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 479.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 51c | 309.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 47c | 297.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 244.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…31e3backed Yes | 51c | 237.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 45c | 218.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c658backed Yes | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 55c | 155.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 142.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 49c | 136.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 48c | 131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 127.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 51c | 97.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 95.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 91.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 89.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 77.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes | 50c | 77.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 36c | 70.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 67.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 61.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 48c | 59.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 49c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 61c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 48c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 50c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 66c | 25.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…c5bdbacked No | 71c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.