TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,044 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c5,518$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.713,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over62c3,640$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.8314067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Under32c3,124$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over68c1,480$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.062,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c1,160$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.581,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under3c1,121$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Under2c1,108$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.351100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,079$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.94,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over31c876.77$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.533040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under12c865.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.6911336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under32c781.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.252540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb20…16a1backed Over53c753.26$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over56c539.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4456512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+895.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c423.12$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.361,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under31c357$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3312626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under31c322.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.814755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over39c321.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over69c315.84$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9316363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c281.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.150249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under32c261$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c220$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.26412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under12c220$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.29611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c192.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under10c171.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.184845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over47c165.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.498549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c164.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.321,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c162.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4928446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under48c158.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.717032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under31c145$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over68c144.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over69c142.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.462060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over51c137.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.611056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over24c118.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.026350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over52c112.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2544324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over58c101$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.587251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over49c75.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under32c75.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c73.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under51c67.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d9…5a08backed Over55c64.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.388958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over26c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over35c57.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over69c53.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9211855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1613151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c48.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over74c45.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304045%18 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over29c39.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4613457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under34c39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8759555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over67c35.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under47c30.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over46c29.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd569…7c74backed Over69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c28.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Over54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Under45c25.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over56c24.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.910248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over70c24.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Over69c23.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over70c21.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9817455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4315246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over69c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over66c20.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Over68c19.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over68c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5627653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.