La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b152865e8865ed7519220fab103c2b1ed70f7657b7f3c27204b5ea2c38f7ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,473$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 873.02$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 49c | 673.2$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 51c | 666.66$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 27c | 605.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 58c | 525.86$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 401.49$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 51c | 331.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 304.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9a6bbacked Yes | 49c | 178.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…f223backed No | 51c | 178$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed No | 50c | 176.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…1b23backed Yes | 49c | 176.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…7ec7backed Yes | 49c | 176.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8916…197bbacked No | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3579…eab7backed Yes | 49c | 166.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8be1backed No | 51c | 164$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f0…7dcabacked No | 51c | 163$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…2d66backed No | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…4463backed No | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…2df6backed Yes | 49c | 158.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…65febacked Yes | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…3285backed No | 51c | 152.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…314dbacked Yes | 49c | 147.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…bbf2backed No | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 139.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…3f34backed No | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…8076backed Yes | 49c | 135.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…beecbacked Yes | 49c | 130.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9130…fcfbbacked No | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…2ac7backed Yes | 49c | 129.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 106.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 51c | 80.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 67.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 55.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 42c | 52.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 47.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 53c | 45.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…d316backed Yes | 45c | 44.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 41.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 51c | 38.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 50c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 33.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 30.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 47c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.