TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,851 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c18,516$11,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,325.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over41c11,556$4,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,737.931566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over42c7,374$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.242152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over38c5,214$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.230446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over44c4,239$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c3,429$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.723,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under48c3,382$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c1,891$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.082,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,869$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.5169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c1,439$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.681,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over43c1,158$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c1,018$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under58c999.99$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4157750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c948$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under57c857$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.513342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under59c749.63$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…23c3backed Over43c632.53$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c515.95$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.581,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c499.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over43c480$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over27c351.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.898732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under59c314.42$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9112626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under56c290.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.738251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e40…6654backed Over43c265.12$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over44c265$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.69237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under59c220.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.342369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c180.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over43c179$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under62c173.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over43c169.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.69634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16a2…2172backed Over42c162$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over31c159.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3644424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6342458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cae…fbcbbacked Over41c132$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over44c110.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over41c108.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5517032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2715246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0de…c0b9backed Over43c90.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7207…b2bbbacked Over43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over39c83.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1111855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eab…735fbacked Under60c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over15c79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over41c77.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c71.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under58c70.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c67.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Over43c67.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27d…8696backed Under59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over40c64.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.893470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Under60c64.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under59c58.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9910947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over43c56.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1712958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over40c53.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4324048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf88…22cbbacked Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under61c50.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5112152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511962.2%74 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under59c49.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c40.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over30c38.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6310944%48 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under60c38.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3427850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over44c35.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…4f2cbacked Under59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04aa…a6fcbacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.927055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over41c32.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c69…4622backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ca…2b90backed Over43c28.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.