Other European Leagues · resolved market
Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c1d83a1794e737de544145d871b02f0042b2acd39e6b7752d8a52499a71ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,463$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,566$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,530$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 55c | 1,372$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 57c | 1,203$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 882.05$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 797.6$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 561.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 559.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 404$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 340.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 66c | 257.55$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 29c | 237.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 59c | 130.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 28c | 111$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 36c | 99.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 44c | 60.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 38c | 52.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Over | 52c | 42.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 58c | 24.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.