TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c4,280$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.6376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c4,168$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.196,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over72c2,500$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7059055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c2,307$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over67c1,449$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.596100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under36c1,427$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c988.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.062,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over74c844.69$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.042,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c762.89$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.662,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over74c745.84$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.684355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c732$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36614055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over42c681.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.963545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under23c460.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.338445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over51c390.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1519356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c360.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under33c353.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3816757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c341.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8118851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5910361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over62c196.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.431,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over78c189.77$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over59c165.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.214247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.446553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under51c154.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.627037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under11c152.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.765016%8 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over70c151.58$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.475032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c151.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.144712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under39c140.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0910454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over77c132.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.394261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.462286.4%19 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2515560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over76c118.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.394969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over69c113.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.27887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over77c109.04$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb329…62cebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over50c99.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.811145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Over71c96.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.096157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under14c94.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0411753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over56c87.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.813262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over50c87.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6510136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3255654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Under56c78.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.462536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under28c77.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.639352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under28c77.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over55c72.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over47c67.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.033056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over67c66.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.042060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.982147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over60c54.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over77c51.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.783464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over62c48.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.088763.2%55 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under31c46.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.384940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c44.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under57c44.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2910861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over65c43.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4210054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over58c41.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under49c41.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over49c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Under59c38.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over51c37.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4811636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over71c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.033026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.498362.7%52 W · 31 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.493863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a98…1071backed Over79c28.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.062263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.233455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7510569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f78…3235backed Over67c22.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c20.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under56c20.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c20.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6211555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over80c20.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Over77c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.545860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over76c16.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.929355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.