Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d608a33808d500ae11541107e4ef5c4591f5bf4bf29a000f63c1da7e489e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,955 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.83 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 3,771$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.02 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 32c | 1,793$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 67c | 637.04$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 33c | 430$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 305.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 33c | 153.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 31c | 137.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…b1f8backed Over | 67c | 127.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Over | 67c | 109.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 18c | 105.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 92.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 72.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 66c | 66.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…6a26backed Over | 67c | 61.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Over | 69c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 32c | 51.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 66c | 47.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 67c | 31.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.