Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c4db7b7dafd5aa839c11c4c438dccdf867ea951617134d94e6b757e1dd8fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torino FCof Torino FC, Parma Calcio 1913
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 78c | 2,162$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Torino FC | 23c | 2,154$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.46 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Torino FC | 37c | 555.74$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 76c | 492.46$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 67c | 336.04$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Torino FC | 20c | 307.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 57c | 271$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Torino FC | 21c | 167$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…e6f1backed Torino FC | 20c | 131.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Torino FC | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 77c | 57.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 78c | 34.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.