Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fbc87705e5b1aefac8dbe38611773b94b1382f0e24e953f2fc2d1c0d5ea88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,231 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 32c | 1,599$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 60c | 1,548$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 10c | 1,248$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,089$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 8c | 532.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 396.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 60c | 370.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 368.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.16 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 335$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 335$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +314.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked Under | 78c | 322.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 8c | 304.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Under | 72c | 284$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 274.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Over | 30c | 267.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…6136backed Over | 13c | 235.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +686.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 47c | 152.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 40c | 146.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 123.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 46c | 109.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 15c | 83.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 74c | 41.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 72c | 29.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 41c | 27.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 64c | 20.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…0488backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.