Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec8156be06284533fb5653d79070b48bced822d8e69abb33317723cb920176f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 7,185$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,608$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.89 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 58c | 1,509$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 22c | 1,172$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 20c | 947.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 797.61$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 38c | 668.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 19c | 651.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 19c | 451.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 20c | 380.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.92 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 304.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…71eebacked Over | 23c | 292$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…9d35backed Under | 77c | 292$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 48c | 255.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Under | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 194.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 22c | 173.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 19c | 140.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…8776backed Under | 58c | 135.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 19c | 131.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…7df6backed Over | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +381.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…ebeebacked Over | 20c | 106$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Over | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 79c | 95.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Over | 20c | 91.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 21c | 90.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 47c | 81.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 20c | 50.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…304bbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…8626backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…ed87backed Under | 80c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Under | 79c | 39.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…e8fdbacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…a54bbacked Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…d524backed Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2452backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…bd44backed Under | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.