TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,384 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over40c150,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,999.938743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under60c42,728$25,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,693.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under60c39,633$23,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,779.822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c15,624$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,485.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c9,702$5,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,820.9234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over69c8,693$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under15c8,242$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over39c3,666$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.3740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under60c3,600$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under60c3,487$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.4633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over79c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.162045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under60c1,917$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1502552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over40c1,032$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over79c980.98$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.998965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over40c891.75$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under60c683.33$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456e…968bbacked Over74c676$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over63c489.59$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under61c483.61$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under62c452.4$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5625…336dbacked Under61c449.84$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over41c344.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.796937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.467464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…09f8backed Over76c275.32$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under5c263$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.941553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under61c209.84$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over39c188.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002065%13 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under61c152$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.729353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over40c148.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2329862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under24c147.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under60c138.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.339754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c129.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c129.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over42c129.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.053040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Under60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under60c98.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under60c97.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74c…2413backed Under55c96.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under61c90.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under59c88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.929137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1c…afe2backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under39c80.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under59c79.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.197451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over68c78.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under43c74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.978752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under60c71.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4513445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.39257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under61c68.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5409…9fb8backed Under60c68.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.684271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Under61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under19c62.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over41c60.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.524440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under60c57.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over38c57.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.659857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under61c54.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.383663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under60c52.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.634751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52425%6 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under61c49.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.249750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over41c49.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2412946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over39c48.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6de…3db6backed Under60c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over42c47.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.856155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…9664backed Under60c46.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over40c42.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb6…80aebacked Under61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Under60c37.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-80.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…801ebacked Under60c34.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Under61c32.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under44c30.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.