Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f5c6d488458ceb3f0c554c3953154e296bbd0512b8dc0ba6a44d9c14b8e715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 77c | 1,800$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 889.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 388$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 11c | 211.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 74c | 143.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 116.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 21c | 85.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…7ca1backed Under | 25c | 61.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 26c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…bd5dbacked Under | 25c | 53.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 26c | 50.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 76c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…3fb3backed Over | 76c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…c0bdbacked Over | 76c | 20.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…241abacked Over | 76c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeae…6366backed Over | 76c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…644ebacked Over | 76c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…27f5backed Over | 76c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.