Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e83441dc381177bcb289d7ce704e030b07b919579f013faa8cae6f38f0cd90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Crystal Palace FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 53,034$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Burnley FC | 60c | 43,642$26,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,523.24 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 61c | 13,291$8,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 60c | 11,819$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 11,189$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 4,111$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.19 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Burnley FC | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Crystal Palace FC | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Burnley FC | 61c | 2,557$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.84 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 2,339$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.34 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 2,100$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Burnley FC | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.8 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Crystal Palace FC | 25c | 1,161$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Burnley FC | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Burnley FC | 60c | 698.07$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Burnley FC | 60c | 425.79$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Crystal Palace FC | 73c | 351.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Burnley FC | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Burnley FC | 43c | 253.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Burnley FC | 59c | 230.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Burnley FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 184.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Burnley FC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Burnley FC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Burnley FC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Burnley FC | 42c | 133.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Burnley FC | 61c | 120.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…df82backed Burnley FC | 61c | 112.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Burnley FC | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 96.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Burnley FC | 61c | 94.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Crystal Palace FC | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 65.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Burnley FC | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked Burnley FC | 61c | 55.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Burnley FC | 61c | 46.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Burnley FC | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Burnley FC | 60c | 43.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Burnley FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Burnley FC | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Burnley FC | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…39ddbacked Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 38.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Burnley FC | 60c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 34.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 34.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Crystal Palace FC | 55c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4119…96f0backed Burnley FC | 63c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…2007backed Burnley FC | 63c | 30.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4e…f997backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 30.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…1f4fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…9f30backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 29.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…ba70backed Burnley FC | 63c | 28.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…7012backed Crystal Palace FC | 38c | 27.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Burnley FC | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…1858backed Burnley FC | 63c | 26.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Burnley FC | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Burnley FC | 61c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.