Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8baef74e120678320b5f14c290d906354bb50ed3f7db016df8bc474bee5d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,822$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 3,329$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 2,498$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 2,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,166$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.18 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Under | 50c | 719.48$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 47c | 532.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Under | 50c | 243.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 237.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…eb84backed Over | 52c | 191.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 55c | 188$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 50c | 161.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 136.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 119.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 106.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 51c | 103.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 51c | 81.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 29c | 62.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 61.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under | 52c | 57.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…6bcbbacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 53c | 54.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…00f2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 49c | 45.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…233fbacked Over | 60c | 40.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 58c | 40.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 65c | 33.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 50c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 29.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked Over | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…04a2backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2b90backed Over | 51c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 53c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked Over | 75c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.