Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81aec3b7ddc4cd9b34c4d2fd7e5dde5ac2a6bd4114e43bf9a19a4829c1be3e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 1c | 1,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 76c | 1,728$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.28 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 1,327$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,299$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 1,258$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 76c | 1,060$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.6 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 30c | 971$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.7 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 31c | 846.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 75c | 729.81$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Under | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 313.61$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 54c | 180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 106.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 103.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 91.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 73c | 84.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 41c | 51.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 58c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Under | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 69c | 18.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.