Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6470616f40959765ed8032acef4d05bca0a5506e020f645931114a16d9615a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 4,710$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 3,128$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 57c | 2,252$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.78 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 19c | 1,893$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 49c | 1,799$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 65c | 712.54$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 627.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 19c | 564.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 422.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 70c | 285.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Over | 72c | 191.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 62c | 138.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 73c | 134.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 76c | 131.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 127.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 58c | 115.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 111.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 70c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 70c | 98.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 72c | 83.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 81.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 59c | 57.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 29c | 51.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 53c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 41.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 71c | 38.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 47c | 38.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 72c | 30.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 29.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Over | 63c | 28.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…2967backed Over | 57c | 27.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 65c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…1fd0backed Over | 68c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.