TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c12,737$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,075.382,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c8,274$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over74c5,802$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c3,794$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.6693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Over71c2,924$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under38c2,285$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9811837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…9d0cbacked Under1c1,735$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over13c1,265$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.783243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over21c1,100$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over24c999.96$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9731441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over63c787.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.711392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over41c726.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.29154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over59c677.08$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over52c629$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.922835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over26c582.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.389054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over43c572.82$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.756043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Over24c555.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.954647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.23732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over52c500$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over57c481.11$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.517848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over43c460.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c417.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over60c413.42$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over27c337.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+198.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over65c323$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.759576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under69c322.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.583271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c319.9$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over43c261.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c250.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over71c238.59$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over70c220$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over66c217.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under30c217$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over70c203.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.093141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1186448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over51c196.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.442842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under77c194.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Over28c175.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over59c169.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.737958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Over24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.671030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c155.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.356744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over25c144$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cb…015fbacked Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over44c127.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.272450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Over23c125$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over52c123.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.09875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over41c121.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over23c121.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7419436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1113826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Under78c105.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c105.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6515041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…c7aebacked Under75c93.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x362b…9534backed Over63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over45c89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1b…4b36backed Under54c86.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under55c80.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2317651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under46c78.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.462623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over17c75.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.244535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c67.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6131051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.510566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.483956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over56c59.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.014738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over45c49.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.093148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over69c48.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.964170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Over47c42.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.993174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under75c41.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9121251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over70c34.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Under77c33.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c33.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc149…bb7abacked Under57c31.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under77c31.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7e…50aabacked Under78c30.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cb…4593backed Under80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Under68c28.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.524247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.