Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e2ee93be57d0a2aa160e2e12f494165f91f004cd7a9e7d2d9a5d698aa3827a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,859$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,853$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.58 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 29c | 1,707$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 41c | 1,508$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 1,481$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.95 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed No | 59c | 1,102$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 74c | 940.53$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 38c | 837.49$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 764$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.8 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 41c | 675.56$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 59c | 499.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 444.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 30c | 438$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Yes | 76c | 395.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…1267backed No | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 42c | 211.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 73c | 186.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 58c | 150.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 29c | 149$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 136.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 75c | 118.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 93.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed No | 61c | 92.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 82.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…5664backed Yes | 41c | 46.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 69c | 37.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…bc92backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 33c | 32.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 58c | 31.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…0e1cbacked Yes | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…93a8backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.