TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c25,873$15,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,761.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c12,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000.17220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over47c4,286$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.2621650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c4,170$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.2120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c4,052$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.6998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c3,639$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.4522348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over44c2,040$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c2,004$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.2238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over45c1,682$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.179054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c1,492$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.551,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over48c1,488$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.752835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c1,300$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.964748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c1,129$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.3716046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.832330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c892.24$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2410361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over47c868.64$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over46c867.65$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.074953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over48c850.73$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c727.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c639.51$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under57c561.4$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over47c542.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over44c423.85$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under67c383.85$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.882763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over46c369.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.576937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over41c358.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.543066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over41c329.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.356043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c267.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9833144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under55c266.64$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.653941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over36c241.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.043148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c236.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over47c212.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.879953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over76c206.58$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5817958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.254551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Over76c205.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.261070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under55c185.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.62737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under57c175.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c174.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over78c171.03$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under23c157.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.724955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over26c147.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0818055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.063243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over73c144$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over77c142.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8619353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c47…7fdfbacked Over46c129.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c118.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Under56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Under24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Under45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over65c92.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6911856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under55c92.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over48c91.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.675945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over44c87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Over49c81.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under54c74.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-76%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under55c70.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8311955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Over45c61.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.613773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c57.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…2fa7backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5610566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c8…bc51backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedea…740fbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf5…5fc2backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adf…b6b1backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under53c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7221251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0406…c5b3backed Under57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4411348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over46c43.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.258858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over44c36.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240f…0062backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Under56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Under56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over55c34.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4928458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c34.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under42c33.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over75c33.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.344170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce5…0e2abacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…aa48backed Under56c31.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.257065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Over45c28.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over73c28.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.691957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.