Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808a09e181d30615b28e90590b1ea9a37c1e90fa643e99d08d899ba68981083e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 2c | 9,562$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 9,273$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…03cabacked No | 71c | 2,210$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.56 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,532$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.45 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,494$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…c50abacked Yes | 13c | 1,378$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 14c | 1,266$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 1,213$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.43 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,101$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 9c | 1,063$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 5c | 1,043$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 10c | 870.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 74c | 750.76$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 8c | 728.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…f4f5backed Yes | 11c | 698.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed Yes | 18c | 692.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 674.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 8c | 638.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked No | 28c | 636.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.81 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 13c | 524.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.16 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 16c | 523.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…ab83backed Yes | 9c | 519.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 72c | 515.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…3790backed Yes | 8c | 499.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 52c | 496.11$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…1795backed Yes | 31c | 475.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed Yes | 10c | 468.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 458.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 451.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 6c | 443.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 16c | 443.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 436.42$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 9c | 365.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 355.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…3163backed Yes | 34c | 338.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…89f6backed Yes | 19c | 311.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Yes | 9c | 306.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 63c | 298.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…d1f3backed Yes | 7c | 284.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +193.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…f584backed Yes | 8c | 279.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 21c | 244.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…a6dcbacked Yes | 8c | 227.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 5c | 219.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 208.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked No | 71c | 206.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9e44backed Yes | 16c | 205.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…0af2backed No | 75c | 203.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 7c | 200.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…dc8dbacked Yes | 18c | 199.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…d227backed No | 64c | 183.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 34c | 181.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…506bbacked Yes | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…1ad8backed No | 70c | 154.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 11c | 151.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 7c | 151.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 146 | 17.1%25 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 140.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…5c14backed Yes | 33c | 135.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 38c | 131.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 20c | 129.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed No | 61c | 126.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed No | 52c | 110.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed No | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 52c | 109.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…1059backed Yes | 14c | 109.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…acc7backed Yes | 11c | 106.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 24c | 105.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 25c | 101.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 100.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…54b4backed Yes | 18c | 100.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…e42cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…19eabacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 19c | 97.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 76c | 91.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed No | 13c | 91.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…6f1fbacked Yes | 16c | 85.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…f2dcbacked Yes | 13c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…075dbacked Yes | 14c | 78.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…e59abacked Yes | 15c | 76.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 56c | 75.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 45c | 75.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…4121backed Yes | 21c | 71.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…1db0backed Yes | 27c | 71.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 74c | 67.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 75c | 65.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked Yes | 78c | 65.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…b107backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 53c | 63.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 60c | 57.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 35c | 57.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.