Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda2a2746b95d00bb97eb54b91aa01f8affcb5da7c7b397f3a63d0baf4dd42609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4674…03cabacked Yes | 51c | 5,599$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.78 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 1c | 5,553$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 13c | 2,965$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.84 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 9c | 2,360$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.97 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,532$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.64 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 12c | 1,334$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.77 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 39c | 1,227$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.4 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 15c | 1,200$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 12c | 1,067$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 14c | 1,034$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 21c | 947.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.91 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 8c | 687$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.16 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 78c | 604.12$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 9c | 536.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 8c | 499.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 74c | 476.7$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…18c7backed Yes | 11c | 434.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 9c | 416.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 411.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 410$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.29 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…b2f2backed No | 64c | 381.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 79c | 367.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 14c | 356.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.22 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 350.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 14c | 347.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…4b6ebacked Yes | 73c | 319.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 10c | 308.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 22c | 282$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.19 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 275$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 8c | 266.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 263.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 244.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 32c | 243.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 7c | 223.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 13c | 217.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 187.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 179.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 6c | 168.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 15c | 165.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 12c | 163.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 17c | 161.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 12c | 156.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ce…5b4abacked Yes | 9c | 150.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 133.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 37c | 132.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 64c | 123.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 22c | 121.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 42c | 115.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 18c | 108$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 16c | 94.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 23c | 92.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 49c | 84.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed Yes | 64c | 78.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…81e1backed Yes | 18c | 78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 15c | 71.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 69.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 74c | 64.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 28c | 54.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 58c | 52.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…2b6cbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 77c | 39.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked No | 79c | 36.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…929bbacked Yes | 53c | 33.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…f467backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…60ddbacked No | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…747ebacked No | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed No | 75c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 79c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.