Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30006af12acf4f442c04df981c2994450db1f3930dec10030812091d4cb1d9a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8dd…5c14backed Yes | 1c | 2,042$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 1,851$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.34 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 5c | 1,268$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 5c | 766.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 27c | 629.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 621.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 78c | 462.54$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 399.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…2295backed Yes | 28c | 363.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 15c | 349.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 340.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 314$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…7780backed Yes | 26c | 305.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 237.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 16c | 235.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 25c | 229.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 75c | 227.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 22c | 222$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 9c | 216.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 196.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…0ffabacked Yes | 23c | 190.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 26c | 188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 186.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 25c | 168.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 22c | 167.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed No | 68c | 146.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 9c | 144.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 135.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 133.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 118.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 21c | 107.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 105.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 18c | 103.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 23c | 101.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 24c | 100.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 99.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 92.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 74c | 91.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…f74fbacked Yes | 23c | 90.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 20c | 87.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 83.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 81.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 42c | 80.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…28edbacked Yes | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 26c | 73.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…9b4dbacked Yes | 25c | 69.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked No | 73c | 67.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 63.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…a390backed Yes | 26c | 57.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 25c | 54.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 53.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…48e7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…5317backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…dbb1backed Yes | 30c | 49.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 46.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…1059backed Yes | 31c | 40.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 39c | 38.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 72c | 35.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…f2e3backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…631fbacked No | 79c | 33.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…cfd4backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 72c | 32.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 71c | 31.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 60c | 30.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…fe90backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 77c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.