NBA · resolved market

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac32c5a79012d5b409781fd2e7c6e6d6ca11891298b99c5a93d22e0444f2172

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $286,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $267,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes	27c	84,274$22,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,952.21	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed No	75c	60,000$44,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,199.94	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	73c	33,457$24,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,135.44	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	24c	31,573$7,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,717.79	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf667…93c6backed Yes	2c	24,109$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.18	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	24c	15,444$3,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,650.26	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaddf…ce76backed Yes	0c	14,872$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No	75c	10,716$8,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,714.93	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed No	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked No	75c	8,600$6,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150.75	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed No	73c	4,761$3,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.27	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes	24c	4,450$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.61	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes	29c	4,409$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.75	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	22c	4,155$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.33	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No	70c	3,924$2,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.63	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes	27c	3,854$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.95	183	32.2%59 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked No	75c	3,543$2,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.8	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Yes	25c	3,282$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	77c	3,280$2,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.03	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	74c	3,169$2,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.53	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes	29c	2,999$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.1	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d8…682abacked Yes	24c	2,860$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.41	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	77c	2,845$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.02	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	6c	2,765$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.24	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	26c	2,370$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.59	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No	78c	2,350$1,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.2	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Yes	41c	1,770$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes	25c	1,718$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.88	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…a00dbacked Yes	38c	1,650$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes	22c	1,350$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a82…4a0ebacked No	74c	1,346$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.86	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Yes	25c	1,076$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.01	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed No	75c	1,017$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.26	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…f433backed Yes	25c	1,000$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.37	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No	75c	1,000$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.82	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	76c	999.99$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	72c	999.92$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.98	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	30c	997.65$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.37	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+37%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Yes	26c	928.83$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes	32c	924.55$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.79	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Yes	29c	832.2$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.59	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No	66c	825.11$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.8	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45c…ce8bbacked Yes	38c	803.75$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	79c	799.98$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	908	63.9%580 W · 328 L	+80.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	24c	790$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.81	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a2…6f75backed Yes	24c	708.33$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a1…ab45backed No	50c	684.31$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	78c	665.45$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.88	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e0…75b7backed Yes	24c	625$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	56cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e10…6a89backed Yes	40c	621.03$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes	28c	585.19$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Yes	22c	542.85$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed No	79c	539.18$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.03	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	295	51.9%153 W · 142 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0791…385bbacked Yes	24c	499.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a7…a2f0backed Yes	38c	499.24$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes	18c	462.33$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	77c	459.72$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.43	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked No	71c	438.37$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.13	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc549…97b7backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e33…11c9backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-63%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes	26c	415.88$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-44%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Yes	29c	409.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	43cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66eb…b509backed Yes	23c	400$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	22c	395.59$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.03	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes	51c	383.11$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes	28c	358.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed No	78c	343.16$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.38	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…e0c8backed Yes	18c	330$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	33c	325.07$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.48	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes	6c	305.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	303.26$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.08	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes	31c	300$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Yes	30c	296.67$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Yes	30c	278.26$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.43	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No	71c	276.98$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.37	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes	28c	275$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked No	74c	267$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.42	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed No	74c	267$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.42	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked No	70c	262.9$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.68	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No	76c	262.34$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	26c	250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	75c	246.62$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.99	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59c7…aaf7backed Yes	28c	242.79$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Yes	47c	232.96$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	156	41.7%65 W · 91 L	-13.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	77c	231.04$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.32	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2582…6d86backed Yes	24c	228.42$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No	72c	225.97$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.25	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes	46c	217.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x538d…34b1backed Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes	50c	201.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	187	64.7%121 W · 66 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…1e3abacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.49	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?this page
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?Yes won
Will Brandon Ingram win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Kevin Durant win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will LeBron James win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Norman Powell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Pascal Siakam win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Stephen Curry win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event