TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost-$699.8523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes4c1,600$64 inLost-$642,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes2c1,598$33 inLost-$33.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost-$305156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes4c826.51$33 inLost-$33.051,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4373…8f8fbacked Yes7c813.57$57 inLost-$56.951540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes4c674.99$30 inLost-$306643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes4c672$24 inLost-$24.19740.2%39 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567c…245abacked Yes5c614.08$31 inLost-$31.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes7c608.68$40 inLost-$4033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c557.44$23 inLost-$22.821,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c272.18$12 inLost-$11.511,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2010348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787d…d65dbacked Yes9c225.99$20 inLost-$19.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…f433backed Yes9c211.11$19 inLost-$1950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Yes7c189$13 inLost-$13.324949%24 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost-$2027455.5%152 W · 122 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes8c178.32$14 inLost-$14.275225%13 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1454…b79abacked Yes7c155.61$12 inLost-$11.61428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$104755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.