NBA · resolved market

Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87afff28f1422e28ed47a24b910df2633593d14f372cc660a7ad19afa3c02e34

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcb05…670fbacked Yes	8c	4,018$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.67	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a1…ab45backed Yes	12c	2,701$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86d7…66d3backed Yes	2c	2,062$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes	25c	1,660$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.2	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c6b…e258backed Yes	2c	526.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	27cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Yes	8c	359.38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1460…d60bbacked Yes	13c	350$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	133	33.8%45 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	306.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	9c	300.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	15c	292.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.17	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	11c	239.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	9c	216.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bab…5b65backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5951…f562backed Yes	8c	197.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…94a4backed Yes	27c	178.91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-46%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	13c	158.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes	10c	154.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	284	55.3%157 W · 127 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…4e7ebacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba0…e450backed Yes	10c	145.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked Yes	12c	143.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7229…f56abacked Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1216…7288backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+6.2wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+97.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d26…2a13backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	29cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5967…750dbacked No	75c	74.67$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b7…f433backed Yes	16c	66.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes	17c	66.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	718	23.3%167 W · 551 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed No	77c	52.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	83	77.1%64 W · 19 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	66cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	73c	48.66$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event