NBA · resolved market
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2639ff3fae331ddcdb3cfbb6d21d74d8d2318e468fa8cba27dff407d14de32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 5,865$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.51 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 4,682$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.03 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,664$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Yes | 27c | 3,862$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 9c | 3,818$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 29c | 3,300$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Yes | 11c | 2,829$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…5ce0backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 1,820$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.34 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,763$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.98 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked No | 9c | 1,626$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,560$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.59 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,231$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +294.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 26c | 1,201$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.75 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.43 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…f95bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +613.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 33c | 1,090$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.7 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 77c | 1,067$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.85 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…53b0backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 7c | 999.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.92 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 76c | 961.83$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.32 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…e0e0backed Yes | 36c | 756.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 25c | 710.19$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.54 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…dc69backed Yes | 15c | 681.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…67d8backed Yes | 45c | 678.24$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 631.92$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Yes | 9c | 535.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…385bbacked Yes | 7c | 501$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Yes | 8c | 462.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked No | 59c | 416.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 373$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 20c | 370.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 78c | 358.92$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 8c | 355.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 28c | 350.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…a571backed Yes | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Yes | 24c | 325.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…34c6backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +564.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 25c | 276.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…957dbacked Yes | 6c | 264.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…8e6dbacked Yes | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 10c | 253$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 6c | 245.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 15c | 241.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 24c | 233.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 45c | 221.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed Yes | 28c | 183.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…d60bbacked Yes | 12c | 170$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 163.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…f56abacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7064…1b74backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 7c | 146.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…4e7ebacked Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…4f23backed Yes | 29c | 137.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…b823backed Yes | 11c | 135.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…e5a1backed Yes | 20c | 126.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…2674backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 17c | 122.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…f8cabacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 24c | 118.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…aaf7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Yes | 15c | 96.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 20c | 92.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…29cebacked Yes | 27c | 92.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 20c | 89.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 22c | 84.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…18b3backed Yes | 21c | 84.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…ce8bbacked Yes | 13c | 82.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Yes | 27c | 77.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…3f24backed Yes | 21c | 77.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…7288backed Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…9567backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…7a23backed Yes | 36c | 66.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 30c | 64.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…2d58backed Yes | 53c | 63.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…b240backed Yes | 24c | 46.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 43c | 41.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 36c | 39.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…4a5abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 24.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…6b8cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No | 66c | 21.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…d379backed No | 75c | 17.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?this page
- Will Brandon Ingram win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Norman Powell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Pascal Siakam win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.