Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2291369fc690a552e26136061847c970ba9d7a9c4e259c3a76e44ce7d13be984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked No | 7c | 1,396$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…5121backed No | 69c | 1,273$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.43 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 4c | 713.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 7c | 625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 62c | 552.29$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.34 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 6c | 548.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 46c | 494.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 6c | 481.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 463.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked No | 4c | 432.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed No | 5c | 391.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 5c | 378.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 367$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 34c | 348.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 69c | 317.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 12c | 280.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…7f20backed Yes | 32c | 271.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 55c | 267.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed No | 4c | 260.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 51c | 259.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 6c | 207.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 6c | 207.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e0…d131backed No | 70c | 200.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 198.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…a6d9backed Yes | 80c | 188.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 41c | 172.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 41c | 171.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 9c | 166.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 15c | 145.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 141.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 37c | 131.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 29c | 126.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 51c | 121.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 118.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 48c | 95.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 95.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 87.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 59c | 82.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…dc5dbacked Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 43c | 68.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 44c | 66.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8739backed Yes | 42c | 63.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…6cecbacked Yes | 41c | 63.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 62.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…1059backed Yes | 44c | 57.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 56c | 57.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e86…4056backed No | 60c | 56.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 54.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 68c | 49.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…b31ebacked Yes | 36c | 49.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 71c | 49.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 67c | 47.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 26c | 45.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 62c | 44.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…8495backed No | 29c | 41.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 63c | 40.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…4461backed Yes | 37c | 39.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 64c | 37.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 35c | 35.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…0d14backed Yes | 43c | 34.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…6451backed Yes | 71c | 34.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 47c | 31.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…8303backed Yes | 39c | 31.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 35c | 29.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 39c | 29.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…70e1backed No | 61c | 28.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 68c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 73c | 26.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 46c | 25.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…7d2cbacked No | 57c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 22.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 74c | 22.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked No | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 53c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 55c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 53c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked No | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…d7a7backed No | 55c | 19.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 68c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…45febacked Yes | 80c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…3968backed Yes | 72c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.