Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bce02b799c52f6302168e218c99583d4cd7f9efe157cfa1ce4ab727d637a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 7c | 765.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 738.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 400.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.51 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 372.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 58c | 367.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 25c | 364.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 12c | 330.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 19c | 313.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 26c | 309.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 258.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 33c | 254.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 17c | 251$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 47c | 209.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 32c | 208.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 204.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 196.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 15c | 195.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 38c | 186.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…1059backed Yes | 44c | 180.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 177.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 148.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 78c | 146.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed Yes | 36c | 140.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Yes | 19c | 134.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 20c | 132.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 16c | 124.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 17c | 118.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 115.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 17c | 112.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…8db9backed Yes | 22c | 112.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 28c | 107.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 35c | 103.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 20c | 100.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 30c | 91.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed No | 76c | 91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 90.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…05cfbacked Yes | 53c | 85.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…2c4abacked Yes | 36c | 83.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 67c | 82.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 19c | 80.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 80.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked No | 46c | 66.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5158…ae1bbacked Yes | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 22c | 63.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 79c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 35c | 56.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 79c | 50.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 38c | 47.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 24c | 47.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 52c | 47.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 23c | 46.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 26c | 45.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 39c | 44.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 72c | 39.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 38.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…06b7backed Yes | 50c | 37.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 78c | 34.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 30.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 79c | 29.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 79c | 28.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 26.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 79c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 71c | 19.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 75c | 18.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 76c | 18.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 69c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 80c | 16.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…337abacked No | 79c | 15.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…2cbebacked No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 78c | 14.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.