Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced875c81b33296989bfe995d068fce63a619746b73defe6ba312315f7b0eb17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 10c | 618.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed No | 73c | 554.7$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 419.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 30c | 364.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 22c | 330.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 34c | 320$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 291.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 275.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 26c | 251$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 242.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 25c | 209.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked No | 74c | 197.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 168.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 70c | 147$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 36c | 143.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 35c | 140.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 11c | 136.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 136.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 129.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 126.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 28c | 126.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 76c | 118.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 70c | 116.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 77c | 111.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 28c | 111.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 109.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…6903backed Yes | 25c | 109.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 12c | 107.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 102.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5158…ae1bbacked Yes | 27c | 101.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 95.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 24c | 95.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 88.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 27c | 85.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 26c | 83.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 28c | 82.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 69c | 78.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…2c4abacked Yes | 38c | 78.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 36c | 75.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 32c | 62.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 62.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 60.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 59.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 58.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 72c | 55.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 36c | 55.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…8db9backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 35c | 54.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 67c | 52.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…2cbebacked Yes | 24c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked No | 77c | 50.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8739backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 45.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 33c | 45.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 44.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…4e40backed No | 68c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…e712backed Yes | 32c | 43.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 43.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…18dfbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 41.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…9214backed No | 74c | 36.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 72c | 34.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 36c | 33.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 75c | 32.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 30.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…8c71backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bd7dbacked No | 77c | 29.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…665ebacked Yes | 35c | 28.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 67c | 27.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 79c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaec…2694backed No | 74c | 24.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…55a1backed No | 79c | 23.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 69c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 68c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed No | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 65c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…d423backed No | 77c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 65c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 71c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1763…ae2dbacked No | 75c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 74c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.