Ukraine · resolved market
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94631ed57d3803fe789adbbba4c0d66ef2a8ed4f800c1a6897a37ad076cf309d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,833,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,453,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,833,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed No | 3c | 1,406,563$37,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,310.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…1c7fbacked No | 0c | 255,950$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…e019backed No | 0c | 142,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 0c | 115,533$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 0c | 109,405$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 79c | 109,118$86,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,658.73 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…c313backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…888abacked No | 0c | 99,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 72,829$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.89 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 75c | 64,541$48,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,913.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 11c | 63,708$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,383.28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…a4d4backed No | 0c | 52,915$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 3c | 49,800$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.01 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…6bf6backed No | 0c | 48,603$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…473dbacked No | 0c | 48,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 48c | 48,005$22,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,153.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…f72abacked No | 0c | 46,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…b036backed No | 0c | 44,450$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 0c | 43,320$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 50c | 40,816$20,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,427.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed No | 0c | 39,222$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 38,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 35,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 3c | 31,257$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.18 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 1c | 30,657$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…47aebacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…13a2backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 38c | 28,992$10,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,048.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 0c | 28,047$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…28b3backed No | 0c | 28,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…dcdebacked No | 0c | 27,670$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 0c | 27,012$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…e655backed No | 0c | 25,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed No | 0c | 25,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked No | 0c | 24,528$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 23,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…ea1abacked No | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…ce42backed No | 0c | 22,915$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…79d6backed No | 5c | 22,617$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…9fcdbacked No | 0c | 21,555$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed No | 0c | 20,413$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked No | 0c | 20,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…2806backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…487bbacked No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…3e65backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed No | 0c | 19,483$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…a2cfbacked No | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 54c | 18,605$10,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,002.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 1c | 17,396$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 74c | 17,279$12,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…9c51backed No | 0c | 16,945$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…74cebacked Yes | 24c | 15,530$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,785.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 3c | 15,270$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.27 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 36c | 15,172$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,752.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 5c | 15,164$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…d6cbbacked No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…603dbacked No | 0c | 14,973$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed No | 24c | 14,533$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 65c | 13,931$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.95 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…38aabacked No | 0c | 13,188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 23c | 12,972$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 61c | 12,281$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,523.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 11,346$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,748.52 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…4f0bbacked No | 0c | 11,050$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…899abacked No | 0c | 10,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 40c | 10,673$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.21 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…fa8fbacked No | 0c | 10,462$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed No | 0c | 10,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 28c | 10,030$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,190.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…b590backed No | 0c | 10,006$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…ea15backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…0f34backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…9cd5backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…0a31backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…ad1ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…e44abacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…a01abacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…d73dbacked No | 0c | 9,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked No | 16c | 9,885$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 15c | 9,582$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.4 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 27c | 9,515$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.08 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…08b5backed Yes | 38c | 9,430$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed No | 65c | 9,065$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked Yes | 39c | 9,053$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 1c | 9,013$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…00e3backed No | 76c | 8,445$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 3c | 8,301$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 30c | 8,072$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ee…e027backed No | 0c | 8,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.