South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabb5af7c433e0af9dc934c4f368b1e896695263f8870f53fa840001d23f8c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 17,460$10,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,502.33 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 15,266$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 39c | 4,257$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,214$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 72c | 2,139$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 1,573$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.48 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 1,110$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 63c | 1,019$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 71c | 798.41$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 792.47$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 13c | 741.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…acddbacked Over | 76c | 653.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 46c | 236.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Under | 53c | 199.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 172.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 171.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 32c | 157.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 153.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 13c | 151.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 31c | 143.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 38c | 137.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 43c | 124.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Under | 26c | 120.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 36c | 101.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…df52backed Over | 57c | 98.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 97.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 72c | 91.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 30c | 80.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 61c | 67.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…293bbacked Under | 29c | 58.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…18cfbacked Over | 71c | 57.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…fa88backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Over | 62c | 46.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Over | 62c | 46.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Over | 62c | 45.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…249bbacked Under | 66c | 39.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 37c | 37.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 29.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 37c | 27.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 61c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…72acbacked Over | 63c | 16.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.