Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb677753120d39a95c9aa0483d2cf2c280e501e913320e8db9179f8c4e33585ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 34c | 879.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 379.39$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5bb4backed Under | 50c | 257.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…b786backed Under | 50c | 253.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed Under | 50c | 250.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…febcbacked Under | 50c | 245.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…d110backed Under | 50c | 243.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…abbdbacked Under | 50c | 242.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…9becbacked Under | 50c | 241.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…0f5bbacked Under | 50c | 241.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 50c | 240.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…600cbacked Under | 50c | 240.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…740dbacked Under | 50c | 237.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…57babacked Under | 50c | 236.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…3ff5backed Under | 50c | 235.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed Under | 50c | 228.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…6ce9backed Under | 50c | 223.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 201.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 134.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 20c | 102.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Under | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Under | 68c | 30.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.