Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ccbd529bc91ac21236f18c6650a2ddc95aa517cb5de1cc4d2a6b2f7982ad8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Over | 69c | 9,678$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 6,823$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 58c | 2,289$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.39 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 33c | 1,276$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.3 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 32c | 1,155$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,097$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 53c | 880$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 31c | 645.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 577.27$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 464$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 22c | 400.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 55c | 355.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 50c | 286.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 282.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 272.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 56c | 178.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 30c | 166.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 16c | 135.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 29c | 131$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 126.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 33c | 108.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 104.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 91.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 39c | 89.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 79c | 81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 66.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 41c | 60.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 37.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 74c | 32.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…eba4backed Under | 53c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 71c | 23.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.